Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexei Popyrin Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
M. Arnaldi vs A. Popyrin

Matteo Arnaldi

ITA

3

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

Height

6'5" (196 cm)

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$2.5M

Career Money

$5.2M

Plays

Right-Handed

Alexei Popyrin

AUS

3

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

Height

6'5" (196 cm)

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$2.5M

Career Money

$5.2M

Plays

Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Arnaldi 3 - 1 Popyrin

They have played 11 sets in total, with Matteo Arnaldi winning 7 and Alexei Popyrin winning 4. The last match between Matteo Arnaldi and Alexei Popyrin was at the Brisbane International - Brisbane, 31-12-2024, Round: R1, Surface: Hard, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-3 6-2.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Arnaldi	3
Popyrin	1

Last 4 H2H Matches:

(R1) Brisbane International - Brisbane(12-31-24)

Stats

Matteo Arnaldi

Alexei Popyrin

(Rubber 1) Davis Cup, World Group, F, AUS-ITA 0-2(11-26-23)

Stats

Matteo Arnaldi

Alexei Popyrin

(R1) Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai(10-05-23)

Stats

Matteo Arnaldi

Alexei Popyrin

M. Arnaldi vs A. Popyrin H2H Profile

M. Arnaldi	Stats	A. Popyrin
$2,532,865	Career Prize Money	$5,247,870
59.90% (239-160)	Career Total W/L	54.91% (291-239)
0	Clay	1
2	Hard	0
1	Indoor	0
6	Titles	6
3	Total H2H Matches	1
45.45% (20-24)	YTD Win/Loss	42.50% (17-23)

M. Arnaldi vs A. Popyrin Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Matteo Arnaldi has won 48.70% of points on their second serve, while Alexei Popyrin has won 44.96%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Matteo Arnaldi, in recent form, has won 44.17% of their opponent's second serve points, while Alexei Popyrin has won 43.36%. The same stats for first serve returns are 23.92% and 22.82% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Matteo Arnaldi has saved 61.40% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Alexei Popyrin has saved 61.82% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Matteo Arnaldi has won 46.94% of matches played (W/L 23/26), with Alexei Popyrin winning 41.46% (W/L 17/24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Matteo Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 132/70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 18/28). Alexei Popyrin has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 85/64), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 48% (W/L 22/24).
Player level: In the last year, Matteo Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 50.00% of matches (W/L 13/13), where as Alexei Popyrin has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 52.94% of matches (W/L 9/8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Matteo Arnaldi winning 3 times and Alexei Popyrin being victorious 1 times. They have played 11 sets in total, with Matteo Arnaldi winning 7 and Alexei Popyrin winning 4.
The last match between Matteo Arnaldi and Alexei Popyrin was at the Brisbane International - Brisbane, 31-12-2024, Round: R1, Surface: Hard, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-3 6-2.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:16:55.
Deciding set H2H prediction: Matteo Arnaldi and Alexei Popyrin have played a deciding set 3 times, with Matteo Arnaldi winning 2 times and Alexei Popyrin 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Matteo Arnaldi has played against opponents with an average rank of 62.08 while Alexei Popyrin has played against players with an average rank of 83.54.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Matteo Arnaldi has won 47% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Alexei Popyrin has won 39% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Matteo Arnaldi has converted 23.42% of breakpoint opportunities, and Alexei Popyrin has converted 22.32% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexei Popyrin Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

M. Arnaldi vs A. Popyrin H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

M. Arnaldi	Stats	A. Popyrin
3	H2H Matches Won	1
7	Sets Won	4
58	Games Won	52
25	Aces (Total)	29
18	Total Double Faults	12
2:16:55	Average Match Time	2:16:55
53% (197/372)	1st Serve %	60% (205/339)
69% (136/197)	1st Serve Win %	73% (149/205)
54% (95/175)	2nd Serve Win %	47% (63/134)
48% (12/25)	Break Pts Won %	24% (10/42)
37% (127/339)	Return Points Win %	38% (141/372)
75% (3/4)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	25% (1/4)
67% (2/3)	Deciding Set Win %	33% (1/3)
67% (2/3)	1st Set Won, Won Match	0% (0/1)
33% (1/3)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	100% (1/1)
100% (1/1)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	33% (1/3)

Recent Performance Stats

M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025
Q1 Jacob FearnleyJ. Fearnley	L	7-5 6-2	Stats
Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025
R2 Alexander ZverevA. Zverev	L	6-4 6-4	Stats
R1 Aleksandar KovacevicA. Kovacevic	W	7-5 6-4	Stats
Q3 Tristan SchoolkateT. Schoolkate	W	7-6(5) 6-3	Stats
Q1 Jesper De JongJ. De	W	6-4 7-6(5)	Stats

View All

A. Popyrin Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Hellenic Championship - Athens - 03-11-2025
R1 Sebastian KordaS. Korda	L	4-6 6-3 6-4	Stats
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025
R1 Alexander BublikA. Bublik	L	6-4 6-3	Stats
Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025
R1 Matteo BerrettiniM. Berrettini	L	7-6(5) 6-3	Stats
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm - 13-10-2025
R1 Sebastian KordaS. Korda	L	6-7(4) 6-1 6-3	Stats
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R2 Jannik SinnerJ. Sinner	L	6-3 6-2 6-2	Stats

View All

M. Arnaldi vs A. Popyrin Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

M. Arnaldi	Stats	A. Popyrin
59.90% (239/160)	YTD Win/Loss	54.91% (291/239)
57.91% (560/407)	Sets Win/Loss	53.30% (702/615)
52.58% (4842/4366)	Games Win/Loss	50.60% (6706/6547)
60.71% (85/55)	Hard Win/Loss	56.75% (143/109)
65.35% (132/70)	Clay Win/Loss	57.05% (85/64)
38.30% (18/29)	Indoor Hard W/L	49.40% (41/42)
40.00% (4/6)	Grass Win/Loss	47.83% (22/24)
0.36	Aces Per Game	0.61
1621	Aces Total	3941
0.25	Double Faults Per Game	0.27
1126	Total Double Faults	1725
1:45:46	Average Match Time	1:43:12
301.57	Average Opponent Rank	341.24
59% (16488/28035)	1st Serve %	60% (23897/39546)
68% (11281/16488)	1st Serve Win %	74% (17711/23897)
50% (5794/11542)	2nd Serve Win %	50% (7837/15650)
43% (1155/2712)	Break Points Won % (Total)	36% (1148/3181)
40% (10868/27336)	Return Points Win %	35% (13895/39256)
56.25% (18/14)	Slam W/L	50.00% (27/27)
54.39% (31/26)	Masters W/L	56.73% (59/45)
80.00% (4/1)	Cups W/L	57.14% (4/3)
48.57% (34/36)	Main Tour W/L	45.83% (77/91)
59.84% (73/49)	Challenger W/L	58.82% (70/49)
70.27% (78/33)	Futures W/L	69.33% (52/23)
61% (223/367)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	55% (257/469)
43% (12/28)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	48% (25/52)
58% (76/131)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	59% (160/269)
51% (68/133)	Deciding Set Win %	52% (98/188)
83% (242/200)	1st Set Won, Won Match	83% (271/225)
17% (242/42)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	17% (271/46)
24% (156/37)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	25% (258/64)